This weekend UFC 277 will be taking place in Houston, Texas. The card will be headlined by a rematch between former UFC Bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes, and the girl who upset her as a +1000 underdog, Juliana Peña, the current champion. I’ll give you a betting preview of this fight, as well as two other fights I’m interested in. Be sure to read on to find out who’s going to win this weekend, and where to make some money!
UFC 277: Michael Morales vs Adam Fugitt
Michael Morales is a 13-0 fighter who is 1-0 in the UFC. His only fight inside the promotion was a monstrous first round KO victory over Trevin Giles. He also fought on the Dana White Contender Series and had an impressive decision victory over a very tough opponent. Morales is a huge favorite in this fight, currently sitting around -600 on most sportsbooks.
Adam Fugitt has never fought in the UFC and is 8-2 in his career. He is shorter than Morales and also has a shorter reach. I watched a few of his earlier fights, and he’s been dropped several times before fighting back to a victory. He’ll have his hands full this weekend though, and I fully expect Morales to knock out Fugitt inside two rounds.
Best Bet: Morales by TKO/KO (-135), Under 2.5 Rounds (-225)
Did you miss UFC Fight Night 208? Rodney Miller has you covered!
UFC 277: Matt Semelsberger vs Alex Morono
Matthew Semelsberger is a former college football player turned MMA fighter. The Maryland based fighter is 4-1 in his UFC career with two knockouts inside the first 16 seconds of the fight. His only loss is a decision loss to Khaos Williams. Semi the Jedi, as he’s known, is a monster on the feet with very diverse striking and monstrous power. Semelsberger likes to put on a show for the fans and is always ready for grappling or striking.
Alex Morono is a UFC veteran who has 15 fights with the organization. Morono is 8-3 in his last 11 fights, including a first round KO victory over Donald Cerrone, and a first round KO loss against Khaos Williams. Morono is a very solid fighter, but he’s not an elite fighter. I believe Semelsberger has potential to be top 15 in the Welterweight division in the next two years.
Best Bets: Semelsberger Straight Up (-160), Semelsberger KO (+250)
UFC 277: Amanda Nunes vs Juliana Peña
Amanda Nunes is commonly referred to as the Women’s MMA GOAT; Greatest of all Time. Before her last fight, Nunes had beaten every women to ever hold or fight for a Bantamweight or Featherweight belt. She had won 12 straight fights which included eight title defenses, four KO’s, one submission, and more than 25 rounds of fights. But in her last fight, Juliana Pena outlasted her, outclassed her, and submitted her in the second round to steal the Bantamweight title.
Nunes now says she has come back revitalized and ready to go. Pena on the other hand is confident in her abilities, and feels she knows Amanda now better than ever. The key to winning this fight for Nunes will be patience. She has the ability to outclass her opponent and win a five round decision, but in her loss to Pena it appeared she became fatigued from over exerting in the early rounds.
I expect Pena to perform well, but ultimately I do believe Nunes is the best in the world (maybe apart from Valentina, but that’s a conversation for later.) Nunes is currently a -265 favorite, which normally is a steep line, but Nunes would usually be around a -1000 favorite, so I love to see her below -300. I expect her to win by decision, but wouldn’t be surprised if she got the finish.
Best Bets: Nunes Straight Up (-265), Nunes by Sub (+450), KO (+100), or Decision (+380)
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