UFC Fight Night: Thiago Santos vs Jamahal Hill Best Bets

Thiago Santos

UFC Fight Night returns this Saturday August 6th with an exciting card in Las Vegas. The card will be headlined by a Light Heavyweight matchup between Thiago Santos and Jamahal Hill.

There are tons of great bouts on this card, and I’m going to dive into what the best bets on the card will be. I’ll be looking at props, underdogs, line changes, and much more, so be sure to read below.

Jamahal Hill vs Thiago Santos

The main event of the evening will be between these two Light Heavyweight monsters Jamahal Hill and Thiago Santos. Santos is a staple of this division having fought guys like Jon Jones, Anthony Smith, Glover Texeira, Jan Blachowicz and many, many more. Despite his impressive opponents, Santos has not been impressive recently, having lost four of his last five fights.

Jamahal Hill on the other hand is in a very different boat. Hill is 5-1-1 in his last six fights and has won three of his last four fights by knockout. Hill’s nickname is “Sweet Dreams” because he puts people’s lights out so often. I’m expecting him to try to do the same thing this weekend.

Santos is a good fighter but unfortunately all signs point to him being well over the hill. He had a horrendous knee injury in 2019 that sidelined him for a while, and it feels like he hasnt been the same since. Hill is the play here, it just depends on what line you can get. Hill is anywhere from -275 to -310 on certain sportsbooks.

Read more about Jamahal Hill.

Best Bets: Fight starts round 3 (-105), Hill Straight Up(-275)

Terrance Mckinney vs Erick Gonzalez

Terrance “T-Wrecks” Mckinney is a newer UFC fighter who only has two fights in his UFC career. Those fights were both intensely entertaining as Terrance is a skilled fighter on both the ground and with his striking. His powerful punches made quick work of Matt Frevola in Mckinney’s UFC debut, defeating the veteran by KO in just 15 seconds.

Mckinney will make his third UFC appearance against Erick Gonzalez, a skilled young fighter from America who’s UFC debut started off well before being spoiled in the second round, losing to Jim Miller by KO. Although Gonzalez is skilled, I am fully expecting a T-Wrecks master class in this fight. Mckinney ITD, Mckinney KO, and Mckinney straight up are all in play, but the line is close to -850 straight up.

Best Bets: Mckinney round 1 KO (+160), Mckinney KO (+115)

Josh Quinlan vs Jason Witt

Josh Quinlan earned his UFC contract on Dana White’s Contender Series. His 47 second victory was overturned however after he tested positive for a PED. On the other side is Jason Witt, a veteran of the UFC who is known for solid grappling and a weak chin. Witt has been KO’d in three of his last five fights.

I’m expecting a brawl from these two, but if Witt can make it out of the first three minutes, he may have an okay chance to put together some stretches of control grappling. That being said, Quinlan’s best opportunity is to get it done inside the first round, and I think he can and will.

Best Bets: Quinlan KO (+100), Under 1.5 (+130), Quinlan round 1 KO (+225)

Takashi Sato vs Bryan Battle

Bryan Battle is best known for winning the most recent season of the Ultimate Fighter. Battle is a tall, diverse striker with good grappling ability. He will be fighting Takashi Sato, a japanese veteran of the sport.

Currently Battle is -270 in this matchup. Battle is a great fighter, but -270 seems extremely steep for such a green fighter. Sato has lost three of his last four, but two of those were against very high level opponents.

I like Sato just because of the line here. Submission prop on Battle is also live.

Best Bets: Sato Straight Up (+220), Battle by Sub (+400)


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