Best Bets For UFC Vegas 69

Best Bets

The Ultimate Fighting Championship is back at it for a third straight week. UFC Vegas 69, featuring the main event of Jessica Andrade versus Erin Blanchfield, takes place on February 18 at the UFC Apex facility in Enterprise, Nevada.

The following are my best bets for the 11-bout card. Preliminaries get underway at 4 p.m. (ET), while the main card is slated for 7 p.m. with ESPN+ broadcasting the event. The odds are from DraftKings.

Clayton Carpenter vs. Juancamilo Ronderos, Flyweight

This flyweight bout matches two young fighters looking to make a name for themselves in the promotion. Carpenter (6-0) makes his UFC debut after earning a contract with a unanimous decision against Edgar Chairez in the Dana White Contender Series Season 6, Week 3. Ronderos (4-1, 0-1) is entering the octagon for the first time since getting submitted by David Dvorak in May 2021.

Carpenter is a big favorite and should win this match handily. While Ronderos may enter the octagon a little rusty, Carpenter has demonstrated he is a versatile fighter. The 26-year-old American owns a two-inch height and 3.5-inch reach advantage and has two victories by submission and two via knockouts.

Best Bets: Clayton Carpenter (-305) to win

Philipe Lins vs. Ovince Saint Preux, Light Heavyweight

This light heavyweight matchup features two veteran fighters coming off victories in their last outing. Saint Preux(26-16, 15-8 UFC) drops down in class after defeating Mauricio Rua via a split decision to snap a two-fight losing streak the last time out in a heavyweight match (May 7). Lins (15-5, 1-2), 2018 PFL Heavyweight Tournament Champion, won for the first time in three UFC fights with a unanimous victory over Marcin Prachnio in his return to lightweight in April.

This should be a fairly even fight. However, I like Lins to end up victorious.

While Lins has to be weary of Saint Preux’s wrestling ability, the 37-year-old Brazilian is younger and more agile than the 39-year-old Haitian. Lins also has been more successful at light heavyweight (78.6%) than heavyweight (66.7%). Plus, Saint Preux has struggled lately, as he is just 3-5 in his last eight matches, getting knocked out in two of the previous three.

Prediction/Best Bets: Philipe Lins (-215) to wins

Mayra Bueno Silva Over Lina Lansberg, Bantamweight

Like Carpenter, Bueno Silva is an up-and-comer. The 31-year-old Brazilian (9-2-1), the biggest favorite on the card (-500), has won two straight since returning to bantamweight and improved to 4-2 with the promotion. She is coming off an impressive first-round submission of Stephanie Egger on Aug. 6.

Lansberg (10-7) has lost three straight fights and is 4-6 in 10 UFC bouts. She is coming off a majority decision setback to Karol Rosa on Oct. 22, marking her seventh straight fight that went to the judges.

Go with Bueno Silva, as she is the better fighter. Bueno Silva is 7-0 as a bantamweight, while Lansberg is over the hill. There is no value in betting Bueno Silva to win; therefore, I will use her in a parlay.

Prediction/ Best Bets: Mayra Bueno Silva (-520) to win
Other Bets: Fight to Go Distance (-150)

Nazim Sadykhov Over Evan Elder, Lightweight

Go with Sadykhov (7-1). Sadykhov, making his UFC debut, is a stronger striker, and he has shown to possess better defensive ability than Elder (7-1, 0-1).

You may also want to consider putting a little money on under 2.5 rounds, and/or the fight does not go the distance, as only 12.5% of Sadykhov’s bouts have gone the distance. Thirty-seven and-a-half percent of Elder’s contests have gone the distance.

Best bet/Prediction: Nazim Sadykhov (-195) to win
Fight to not go to distance (-135)
Fight to go under 2.5 rounds (-110)

Other Best Bets

5-leg Parlay (+269): Clayton Carpenter to win (-305); Mayra Bueno Silva (-520); Jim Miller vs. Alexander Hernandez Fight to not go the distance (-250); Jordan Wright vs. Zac Pauga fight does not go the distance (-650); and William Knight vs. Marcin Prachnio fight does not go the distance (-225)


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